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Common Mistakes in Probability, and How Not to Avoid Them

Thursday, April 1, 2010 from 6:30 PM to 9:00 PM (ET)

Boston, MA

Common Mistakes in Probability, and How Not to Avoid Them

Ticket Information

Ticket Type Sales End Price Fee Quantity
BCASA Member - Dinner Ended $9.00 $0.00
Others - Dinner Ended $12.00 $0.00
Talk Only Ended $0.00 $0.00
Remote Attend Ended $0.00 $0.00

Event Details

Speaker 
Joe Blitzstein (Harvard Statistics Department)

Abstract
Probability blends together intuitive and counter-intuitive
results so seamlessly that blunders are extremely common.
We will discuss and categorize mistakes which have been
ensnaring people for centuries, from Newton to the beginning
student. Among others, we will discuss notational inflexibility,
destroying information, not distinguishing distinguishability and
indistinguishability, and "sympathetic mag
ic". Of course, it is not
enough just to point out these mistakes, but neither is it enough
just to try to avoid these mistakes! Fully coming to terms with
them (both why they are mistakes and why they are common),
rather than ignoring them or rationalizing them away with
formalisms, often points the way towards deeper insights into
probability and statistics.


Time
Dinner 6:30 - 7:00pm. Lecture at 7:00pm


Location

The Kotzen Room which is in the
basement of the Library Tower
(close to the Ave. Louis Pasteur
entrance to the Library).
Visitors should enter the garage from the Avenue Louis
Pasteur
driveway. They will have to take, and keep, a ticket to enter
the garage.
Bob Goldman will provide everybody with a ticket
at the event
which will enable them to exit the garage.

To register by check, include the check made payable to BCASA, your name, affiliation, and mail by March 20 to:

Huichao Chen, PhD
Department of Biostatistics/CBAR
Harvard University
651 Huntington Ave, FXB502
Boston, MA 02115